Private Equity Findings, Issue 20 | Coller Capital
25 July 2024 Publication
Research & Insights

Private Equity Findings, Issue 20

Topics
Foreword By the numbers
Retrospective: A bigger picture
Overview Understanding LPs performanceThe role of academic research in PEThe most influential pieces of academic researchThe affect of the 2006-07 credit bubble Resilience of the PE industryThe the growth of private debt fundsAreas of current researchAreas of research opportunities?
What’s at stake?
Roundtable: Will AI transform private equity?
Overview PE embracing AI technologiesAI origination for VC investmentsThe limitations of AI & lack of dataAI in decision makingUsing AI to predict future outcomesDo LPs really need AI to process qualitative information?AI techniques to predict company director performanceDo large networks and directorships mean poor performance?What aspects of PE are ripe for AI disruption?AI for PE: hype vs. reality
Time for a new model?
Overview Time for a new model: The research viewpointTime for a new model: The investor viewpoint
The side letter arms race
The limitations of AI & lack of data
Foreword By the numbers
Retrospective: A bigger picture
Understanding LPs performance The role of academic research in PE The most influential pieces of academic research The affect of the 2006-07 credit bubble Resilience of the PE industry The the growth of private debt funds Areas of current research Areas of research opportunities?
What’s at stake?
Roundtable: Will AI transform private equity?
PE embracing AI technologies AI origination for VC investments The limitations of AI & lack of data AI in decision making Using AI to predict future outcomes Do LPs really need AI to process qualitative information? AI techniques to predict company director performance Do large networks and directorships mean poor performance? What aspects of PE are ripe for AI disruption? AI for PE: hype vs. reality
Time for a new model?
Time for a new model: The research viewpoint Time for a new model: The investor viewpoint
The side letter arms race
Roundtable: Will AI transform private equity?
Are there other limitations in the use of AI in this context, in addition to a lack of available and appropriate data?

 

“Because these technologies require training on existing data, they are more likely to predict a start-up’s success accurately if historical data contains lots of comparables. The trade-off is that VC firms that adopt data technologies consequently tend to tilt their investments towards start-ups developing businesses similar to those
already explored. While they become better at avoiding failures within this pool, they are also less likely to pick
innovative start-ups achieving rare major successes.”

“The widespread adoption of AI in VC could raise concerns about innovation on a larger scale. It could lead to a skew in investments towards more established ideas, potentially side-lining ground-breaking innovations that don’t fit established patterns.”
Maxime Bonelli

“VC is disruptive by nature and using historical patterns to identify something truly innovative doesn’t make sense. What could make sense, however, is identifying what has gone wrong in the past and using that to raise red flags on future investments.”
Merrick McKay

 


 

“Current machine learning algorithms search for patterns, but by definition, breakthroughs do not fit previously established patterns, and this might be a concern for VC firms interested in using AI. However, I am optimistic that AI can help in the VC world by broadening deal sourcing, rather than relying on existing networks. Companies may be being passed over because their founders don’t fit the standard casting of VC-backed founders. They may not have attended the most prestigious schools, for example. That is where I see potential to shake up the deal-sourcing process.”
Léa Stern

 

“History may not repeat itself, but it often rhymes. I am doubtful AI will identify the next star, but it can help us look at probabilities and flag, say, when valuations are higher than historical trends.”
Joshua Lowe

 

 

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