Global Private Capital Barometer 42nd Edition, Summer 2025 | Coller Capital
16 June 2025 Barometer
Research & Insights

Global Private Capital Barometer 42nd Edition, Summer 2025

Geopolitical risk – an increasing consideration in portfolio construction for many LPs

In an increasingly complex global landscape, 44% of LPs report that their institutions have increased their focus on geopolitical risk when constructing portfolios. This reflects growing concerns that political instability, regional conflicts and trade tensions could affect asset performance and capital allocation. Climate change emerged as the second biggest risk factor: it garnered 42% of votes, underscoring the expanding role of environmental risks in shaping investment decisions.

Fig. 9: Over the last five years, has your institution increased its focus on structural risks in portfolio construction (eg, pandemics, climate change, geopolitical risk)?

In a separate finding, investors identified geopolitical risk alongside the broader macroeconomic environment as significant threats to overall private equity returns. As inflationary pressures, macroeconomic instability and shifting trade policies create uncertainty, we believe investors will emphasise resilience and diversification in their portfolios to mitigate increasingly intertwined systemic and idiosyncratic risks.

Fig. 10: Will any of the following factors be significant risks to PE returns in the next two-to-three years?
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